|
| 2020-11-16 来源： 中国石化新闻网 |
 |
 |
石化新闻 |
中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网11月9日报道，花旗研究(Citi Research)周一下调了对2021年油价的预测，由于新冠肺炎病例增幅高于预期，但表示欧佩克及其盟友的供应紧张仍将导致明年油价逐步上涨。 花旗将布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油2021年价格预期分别下调5美元至54美元和49美元。该机构预计，2020年石油日需求量将减少890万桶，但2021年将增加逾700万桶。 该机构在一份报告中表示，由于价格保持在每桶40美元左右，石油输出国组织（OPEC）及其盟国（称为OPEC +）很可能会继续遵守其减产的协议，直到2020年第四季度至明年第一季度，而不是在明年一月份增加产量。 该集团计划从明年1月份开始将减产770万桶/日减少约200万桶/日。 路透社(Reuters)上周援引一位熟悉欧佩克和俄罗斯想法人士的话报道称，欧佩克正考虑明年初进一步削减石油产量。 郝芬 译自 能源世界网 原文如下： Citi cuts 2021 oil price outlook on COVID-19 concerns Citi Research on Monday cut its 2021 oil price forecasts after a larger-than-expected rise in COVID-19 cases, but said tighter supply from OPEC and its allies would still lead to a gradual uptick in prices next year. Citi cut its 2021 Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude price outlook by $5 to $54 and $49 respectively. It forecast oil demand to fall by 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2020, but rise by over 7 million bpd in 2021. With prices remaining around $40, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, are likely to continue complying with their agreement to curb output through the fourth quarter of 2020 and into the first quarter of next year, rather than increase production in January, the bank said in a note. The group is scheduled to reduce output cuts of 7.7 million bpd by around 2 million bpd from January. Reuters reported last week that OPEC+ is considering deeper oil output cuts early next year, citing one OPEC source and one source familiar with Russian thinking. |
